Polymarket Trader

Trader120

0x3de69fd6347a62a618656371e30a17b0c490e560

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.94K
Realized PnL: $10.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $17.61K
Potential profit: $17.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.81

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $47.35
Potential payout: $8.61K
Potential profit: $8.56K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.63K
User PnL: -$22.09

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$80.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $6.27K
Potential profit: $6.25K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$135.21

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $689.2
Potential payout: $5.87K
Potential profit: $5.18K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $162.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $4.73K
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$37.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$65.85

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.15K
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $420.6
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$73.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.99K
User PnL: -$55.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $241.33
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$58.08

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$9.34

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$52.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$12.87

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $339.8
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $39.13

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $174.99
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$43.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$44.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.05

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.66

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.72

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.25

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.78

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.32

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3AM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.94

Up position

Solana Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.12

No position

Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET

Up 72% 1.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 170 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 89.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET

Down 8% 0.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 89.43 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET

Up 69% 4.2 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET

Down 46% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2AM ET

Up 67% 1.49 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96% 22.07 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.1% 22.07 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.6% 0.13 shares