No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
pontozauru
0x3de73e734826b8687c455246436660636809bbb8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $791.84
- Realized PnL
- $984.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$21.81
Yes position
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $79.11
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$157.92
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$38.38
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $759.18
- Potential profit
- $759.18
- User PnL
- -$53.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $753.08
- Potential profit
- $753.08
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $679.96
- Potential payout
- $745.57
- Potential profit
- $65.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $287.72
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.05
- Potential profit
- $743.05
- User PnL
- -$208.45
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.16
- Potential payout
- $286.29
- Potential profit
- $277.12
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.69
- Potential profit
- $206.69
- User PnL
- -$13.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.62
- Potential profit
- $204.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $169.09
- Potential profit
- $168.58
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.42
- Potential profit
- $86.42
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $40.02
- Potential profit
- $39.72
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Romania 3 - 1 Wales?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.44
- Potential profit
- $24.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.86
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.28
No position
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.89
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal today?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.04
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.8
Yes position
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.08
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.82
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.66
Yes position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.76
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $14.26
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Trump Travel Ban Before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No 1% 1,200 shares
- Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 17% 586.63 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 75% 142.01 shares
- Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 17% 587.81 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 76.5% 150 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 7% 83.14 shares
- Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?Yes 0.3% 104.83 shares
- Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 218.14 shares
- Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 1.7% 132.77 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 7% 203.14 shares