Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $153.43
- Potential payout
- $188.28
- Potential profit
- $34.85
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $53.43
Polymarket Trader
0x3df35276c86Ba2E56fBC22Fb3410bda459c8C0d0-1770753109982
0x3df35276c86ba2e56fbc22fb3410bda459c8c0d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $587.98
- Realized PnL
- $668.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $97.37
- Potential payout
- $175.44
- Potential profit
- $78.07
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $133.6
- Potential payout
- $160.01
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $138.41
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $38.41
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $30.18
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.22
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.34
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $28.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.89
Yes position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $18.16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will "Scam" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?Yes 34% 13.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?Yes 68% 13.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 69% 144.93 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.1% 72.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?Yes 0.1% 190.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?Yes 52.4% 190.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?Yes 33% 85.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?Yes 35.2% 85.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 22.1% 158.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?Yes 0.1% 246.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?Yes 60.6% 246.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12?Yes 67.4% 103.91 shares