Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $199.19
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Polymarket Trader
zky-323
0x3e015e7d1af413c2f7f7f5bf4da8b01f720b837e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $252.62
- Realized PnL
- $477.96
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.35
- Potential profit
- $113.35
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $53.44
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $9.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.44
G2 position
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2
Ends Jul 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.85
- Potential profit
- $60.85
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.54
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159
Yes position
Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.18
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.47
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.53
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.79
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
Yes position
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1?
Ends Dec 12, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 1,626.02 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes 96% 1,058.19 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No 33% 60.61 shares
- Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes 9.7% 113.35 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 94.6% 12 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 94.8% 926.56 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 74% 250 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 80% 250 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No 83% 120.48 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes 84.9% 421.47 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes 71.6% 560 shares