Polymarket Trader

ArMa-TiTON

0x3e1028e3d16d581c0bca8e1f3868526ded19fcc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.89
Realized PnL: $53.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $49.65
Potential profit: $48.41
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.85
Potential profit: $7.85
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $7.21
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.17
Potential profit: $7.17
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $4.59
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.1%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.81
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 23% 5.22 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 21% 5.24 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 21% 5.24 shares
Will MrBeast hit 134.5 billion views by July 31?

No 2% 49.65 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

No 40.3% 5.21 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22?

No 0.7% 125 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22?

No 0.8% 125 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?

No 0.1% 1,100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Up 74% 1.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?

Yes 42% 3.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?

Yes 15% 10.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 26?

Yes 20% 8 shares