Polymarket Trader

nastynian

0x3e16f6799ec1923adf22fdf2d6eb041b6cdd5026

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.42K
Realized PnL: $4.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $409.92
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $979.64
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$88.35

Yes position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $489.96
Potential payout: $608.65
Potential profit: $118.69
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $68.04

No position

Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $195.82
Potential payout: $536.5
Potential profit: $340.68
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$29.43

Yes position

Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $260.38
Potential payout: $426.86
Potential profit: $166.48
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $18.54

No position

Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $182.81
Potential payout: $401.78
Potential profit: $218.97
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$7.77

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72.8%
Current value: $291.34
Potential payout: $400.19
Potential profit: $108.85
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$4.17

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $338.02
Potential payout: $400.02
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$14.35

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $163.98
Potential payout: $399.95
Potential profit: $235.97
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Oct 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $274.87
Potential payout: $384.44
Potential profit: $109.57
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $248.6
Potential payout: $342.89
Potential profit: $94.3
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $11.94

Yes position

Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $243.8
Potential payout: $336.28
Potential profit: $92.48
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $21.55

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $269.67
Potential payout: $328.87
Potential profit: $59.2
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $10.29

Yes position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $152.23
Potential payout: $307.53
Potential profit: $155.3
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $23.06

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $147.52
Potential payout: $298.03
Potential profit: $150.5
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $231.24
Potential payout: $294.57
Potential profit: $63.33
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $28.46

No position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $218.37
Potential payout: $283.59
Potential profit: $65.23
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $282.03
Potential payout: $283.16
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: $11.66

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $154.84
Potential payout: $271.7
Potential profit: $116.86
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $37.83

No position

Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $132.3
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $137.7
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$20.3

Yes position

Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $195.61
Potential payout: $266.14
Potential profit: $70.53
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $12.58

Yes position

Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $70.14
Potential payout: $259.79
Potential profit: $189.65
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $110.22
Potential payout: $237.03
Potential profit: $126.81
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$5.21

No position

Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $221.87
Potential payout: $223.55
Potential profit: $1.68
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $133
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.17

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.6

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $356.23

Yes position

o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.7

Yes position

o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.4

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.69

Yes position

Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.44

Yes position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.06

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.81

No position

Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.04

No position

Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $109

No position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $107.15

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.88

No position

Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $81.28

No position

Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $71.7

No position

Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.38

Yes position

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65.84

Yes position

Will Arcium launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Oct 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.36

Yes position

Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $58.02

Yes position

Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.87

Yes position

Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.72

Yes position

Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $45.62

No position

Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 67.31 shares
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99.2% 156.24 shares
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69.9% 144.93 shares
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 140 shares
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.4% 65.37 shares
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 11% 7.38 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 68.5% 770 shares
Saturn FDV above $200M one day after launch

No 45% 124.99 shares
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 104.99 shares
Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 55% 78 shares
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

No 2.1% 89.66 shares