No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $673.97
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $807.28
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$178.46
Polymarket Trader
0x3e2
0x3e2322ddba75024fd268cff486b2009615fd8579
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.12K
- Realized PnL
- $3.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $692.43
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $333.39
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $97.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $950
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$10
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $949.99
- User PnL
- -$66.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $858
- Potential profit
- $858
- User PnL
- -$184.46
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $667.62
- Potential payout
- $762.99
- Potential profit
- $95.37
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $99.75
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $535.99
- Potential payout
- $739.29
- Potential profit
- $203.31
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $10.01
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $556.43
- Potential payout
- $628.74
- Potential profit
- $72.3
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $93.24
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.99
- Potential profit
- $547.99
- User PnL
- -$317.55
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $321.03
- Potential payout
- $509.56
- Potential profit
- $188.54
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $21.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$267.08
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $483.85
- Potential profit
- $483.85
- User PnL
- -$360.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $415.2
- Potential payout
- $480
- Potential profit
- $64.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $91.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $286
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $114
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $218
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $182
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $69.01
- Potential payout
- $373.04
- Potential profit
- $304.03
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$75.4
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $309.58
- Potential payout
- $324
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50.38
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $296.95
- Potential payout
- $310.45
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $48.59
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $250.09
- Potential payout
- $250.97
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- User PnL
- $57.04
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $197.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $52.13
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $140.38
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $207.11
- Potential payout
- $248.03
- Potential profit
- $40.93
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $66.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $191.68
- Potential payout
- $195.09
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $47.31
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $184.17
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- User PnL
- $18.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.41
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.17
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.89
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.73
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.6
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.86
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.14
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.16
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.07
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.22
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 1,000 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 53% 242.43 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 54% 174.21 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 14% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 19% 45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 81.3% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 21.4% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 30% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 35% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 44% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 88% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 77% 100 shares