Polymarket Trader

SwiftShores

0x3e3a707b8a660d5c41e05618f382ebf1f9e249cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.12K
Realized PnL: $7.2K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28K
Potential profit: $28K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $200.03
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$299.97

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $107.81
Potential payout: $937.5
Potential profit: $829.69
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$192.19

Yes position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $59.88
Potential payout: $921.23
Potential profit: $861.35
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$40.12

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $892.86
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $392.86

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $759.78
Potential profit: $759.78
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $570.6
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$30.6

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.91
Potential profit: $523.91
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $447.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$72.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.42
Potential profit: $479.42
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $446.57
Potential profit: $446.57
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.38
Potential profit: $385.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $75.71
Potential payout: $336.51
Potential profit: $260.79
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$24.29

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.58

Yes position

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.77

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.05

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

Yes position

Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.58

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.58

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.75

Senate position

Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.64

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$21.07

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$27.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 54% 3,703.7 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 15,637.37 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 16.6% 602.81 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 16.5% 604.35 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 20% 1,500 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 19.3% 1,562.17 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 20% 500 shares
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 20% 500.35 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 19.6% 510.76 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 16.3% 615.38 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 41.8% 738.23 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 18.3% 5,470.51 shares