Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $180.23
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$27.33
Polymarket Trader
Amyoba
0x3e3f33130116419280917a8d672ed66b78e46e55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $294.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.89K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $61.45
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$305.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.85
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $37.13
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $832.99
- Potential profit
- $832.99
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $276.92
- Potential profit
- $276.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $188.78
- Potential profit
- $188.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.74
- Potential profit
- $12.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.43
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.2
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $46.12
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.28
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Hurricanes position
Flyers vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 666 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26% 1,284.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 92.4% 18.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93% 1,125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 42.04 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No 0.1% 3,333 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 60.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 2,918.69 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 0.1% 44.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 11% 4,481.45 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 27% 740 shares