Polymarket Trader

Liquidpapercut

0x3e404c6a250584b14f3c0595d411fb734987224e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $619.47
Realized PnL: $4.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $429.31
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $20.28

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.77
Potential profit: $411.77
User PnL: -$1

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $190.17
Potential payout: $290.33
Potential profit: $100.16
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $39.17

Yes position

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.05
Potential profit: $196.05
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.65
Potential profit: $104.65
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.29
Potential profit: $73.29
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.29
Potential profit: $68.29
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.67
Potential profit: $61.67
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.91
Potential profit: $57.91
User PnL: -$29.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.91
Potential profit: $57.91
User PnL: -$29.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.51
Potential profit: $57.51
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.08
Potential profit: $57.08
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.57
Potential profit: $56.57
User PnL: -$29.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.52
Potential profit: $55.52
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.99
User PnL: -$39.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.73
Potential profit: $54.73
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.92
Potential profit: $53.92
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 22, 7PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.14
Potential profit: $53.14
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Champion of Coal event?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.53
Potential profit: $52.53
User PnL: -$39.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.53
Potential profit: $52.53
User PnL: -$39.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $925.98

JD Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.8

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.97

Yes position

Will Player 191 finish in second place on Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.1

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.53

Yes position

Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.25

Florida Gators position

Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.75

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.18

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.21

North Texas Mean Green position

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulane Green Wave

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.86

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.84

Nemiga position

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.47

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stage

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.37

Lilmix position

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs STATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.34

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.67

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.24

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.51

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 41.3% 12.11 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 65% 46.15 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.8% 286.65 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 59% 35.59 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 384.61 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 44% 56.82 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 24.2% 76.62 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 384.62 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 58% 22.41 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 31% 11.62 shares