Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $312.29
- Potential profit
- $306.67
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$11.86
Polymarket Trader
Shekel
0x3e5630959499c5b5e55aceeeeae7446933d335d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.17
- Realized PnL
- $7.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $283.24
- Potential profit
- $282.54
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $263.42
- Potential profit
- $257.89
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $251
- Potential profit
- $246.48
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $234.56
- Potential profit
- $229.63
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $10.21
- Potential payout
- $229.55
- Potential profit
- $219.33
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $120.51
- Potential profit
- $118.52
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $105.39
- Potential profit
- $103.66
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $104.06
- Potential profit
- $100.47
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $86.47
- Potential profit
- $84.87
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $77.53
- Potential profit
- $72.88
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $21.06
- Potential payout
- $73.91
- Potential profit
- $52.86
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $71.63
- Potential profit
- $68.94
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.31
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $62.13
- Potential profit
- $54.99
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$12.05
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $49.78
- Potential profit
- $40.82
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $43.33
- Potential profit
- $41.82
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $38.34
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $34.18
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $33.81
- Potential profit
- $18.77
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $24.41
- Potential payout
- $31.29
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $30.48
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.39
- Potential payout
- $26.44
- Potential profit
- $17.06
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $22.87
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.98
- Potential payout
- $25.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $7.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $904.84
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.44
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.98
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.03
No position
South Korean President impeached by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.6
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $487.83
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $469.77
Yes position
North Korea missile test before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.12
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.26
Yes position
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288.07
Yes position
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.61
Yes position
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $224.09
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.83
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.08
No position
North Korea missile test before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.63
No position
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.72
Yes position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.27
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.13
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.92
No position
Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.99
No position
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.9
Yes position
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.84
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?Yes 4.3% 6.94 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?Yes 4.3% 47.76 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?Yes 4.2% 22.91 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?Yes 4.2% 5 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?Yes 3.9% 8.33 shares
- Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?No 95.8% 9.64 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.5% 87.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 1.54 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 9.4% 11.49 shares