Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.24K
- Potential profit
- $35.24K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Polymarket Trader
0x3e59f2C319B3a0D9574FB94FB0045aEa801Db2be-1768770696159
0x3e59f2c319b3a0d9574fb94fb0045aea801db2be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $182.58
- Realized PnL
- $25.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.85K
- Potential profit
- $17.85K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.71K
- Potential profit
- $15.71K
- User PnL
- -$290.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $15.3K
- Potential profit
- $15.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$492.33
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.29K
- Potential profit
- $13.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $37.83
- Potential payout
- $12.61K
- Potential profit
- $12.57K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$662.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.59K
- Potential profit
- $11.59K
- User PnL
- -$102.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.68K
- Potential profit
- $9.68K
- User PnL
- -$649.99
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $125.41
- Potential payout
- $9.65K
- Potential profit
- $9.52K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.54K
- Potential profit
- $9.54K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.49K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- User PnL
- -$399.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $8.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.01K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.37K
- User PnL
- -$789.99
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $8.29K
- User PnL
- -$91.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- User PnL
- -$549.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.82K
- Potential profit
- $6.82K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $6.78K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$220.21
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- User PnL
- -$727.59
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$291
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$326
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$297.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$459
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- User PnL
- -$529.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $771.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 2.8% 71.28 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.9% 421.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 250 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 5.1% 76.22 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 38% 408.62 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 2.1% 95.24 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 4.8% 627.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 32% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes 5% 40 shares