Polymarket Trader

Adelius

0x3e5e0f176663e11d3a156205fde9f9a73069b4af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.6K
Realized PnL: $5.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $987.72
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.71K
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $537.73

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $4.42K
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $668.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $224.93

Raphael Collignon position

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $73.29
Potential payout: $145.13
Potential profit: $71.84
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$34.5

Over position

Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $135.14
User PnL: -$100

Over position

FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.46

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.08

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position

Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.36

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.88

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.63

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.41

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.48

Matteo Arnaldi position

Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alastair Gray

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.21

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.57

Yes position

Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.73

Jan-Lennard Struff position

Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.06

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.79

Alex de Minaur position

HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.34

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.25

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.47

fnatic position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.02

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.92

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.77

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.56

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.27

Elina Svitolina position

Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.29

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.43

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.43

Jannik Sinner position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov

Raphael Collignon 74% 135.14 shares
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov

Raphael Collignon 78% 9.99 shares
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Miomir Kecmanovic 88% 227.27 shares
Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz

Claire Liu 87% 229.89 shares
Iasi Open, Qualification: Elina Avanesyan vs Irina Fetecau

Elina Avanesyan 95% 526.32 shares
Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler

Lorenzo Sonego 66% 151.52 shares
Iasi Open, Qualification: Elena Pridankina vs Georgina Garcia Perez

Elena Pridankina 90% 333.33 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Jannik Sinner 77% 649.35 shares
Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5

Over 74% 135.14 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 85.5% 233.92 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 61.4% 81.38 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5

Over 79.7% 250.78 shares