Florida State position
Miami (FL) vs. Florida State
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Polymarket Trader
shotbymerk
0x3e6aab1e51528a5c0d823910029758b9a64fa27f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $28.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
West Virginia position
TCU vs. West Virginia
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Michigan position
Maryland vs. Michigan
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Florida State position
Miami (FL) vs. Florida State
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
West Virginia position
TCU vs. West Virginia
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Michigan position
Maryland vs. Michigan
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Randy Fine win by 15-20%?
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 67.8 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 34% 29 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 38 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 4.5% 36 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 69% 51 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 69% 51 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.9% 33 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 34 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 85% 35 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 85% 35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 83% 38 shares