No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.39K
- Potential profit
- $15.39K
- User PnL
- -$180.04
Polymarket Trader
tiger5511
0x3e6aee1898c37494b2cdb06da1f43c10b16ae86d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $267.15
- Potential payout
- $6.44K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$194
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $216.01
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$92.83
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $225.18
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $4.57K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$33.09
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.19
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.36K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $31.25
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $294.04
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.66
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $117.84
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$21.39
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$21.19
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$15.19
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$18.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $893
- Potential profit
- $893
- User PnL
- -$20.63
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $820.31
- Potential profit
- $816.62
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $803.07
- Potential profit
- $803.07
- User PnL
- -$21.73
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $726
- Potential profit
- $720.56
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682.51
- Potential profit
- $682.51
- User PnL
- -$212.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $680.22
- Potential profit
- $680.22
- User PnL
- -$108.94
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $576
- Potential profit
- $572.26
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $183.39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.02
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.86
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $63.69
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $57.39
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $53.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.68
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.41
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $39.13
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $37.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $35.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $33.3
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $29.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.68
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $26.05
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $25.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 90.4% 7 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 90.9% 7 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 90.9% 7 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 91% 7 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 85.8% 8 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.8% 30 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.7% 1.26 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.7% 30 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.7% 30 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 85.7% 8 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 18.98 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 90.9% 7 shares