Polymarket Trader

Fripon

0x3e6ebfe3c49cf08cc33199197c13fb06d5be9338

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.44K
Realized PnL: $720.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Current value: $7.58K
Potential payout: $8.8K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $530.55
Potential payout: $553.52
Potential profit: $22.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $423.54

Yes position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $269.17
Potential payout: $533.01
Potential profit: $263.84
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $79.24

Yes position

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $49.84
Potential payout: $178
Potential profit: $128.16
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $62.02
Potential profit: $60.66
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.66
Potential profit: $53.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $120.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $72.48

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.79

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.51

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.81

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.94

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.31

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 87.6% 667.76 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Yes 0.1% 112.03 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 83.8% 101 shares
Will Karen Bass finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 632.86 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Yes 0.2% 112.03 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?

Yes 0.2% 193 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?

Yes 0.1% 2,554.86 shares
Will Karen Bass finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.2% 428.78 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Yes 5% 96.71 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?

Yes 1.8% 37.97 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Yes 8.6% 19.8 shares