No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.71K
- Potential profit
- $8.71K
- User PnL
- -$6.58K
Polymarket Trader
0x3E73dAb243bAE8415C951B0Edad4A87800ED4427-1777456840879
0x3e73dab243bae8415c951b0edad4a87800ed4427
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.64K
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- User PnL
- -$3.17K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $708.97
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $86.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$828
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $37.08
- Potential payout
- $570.43
- Potential profit
- $533.35
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$62.92
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $288.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.47
- Potential profit
- $326.47
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $30.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $30.08
- Potential payout
- $31.18
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 11.63 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96% 29.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 3,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 98.2% 1,543.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.9% 1,740.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 2,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90% 1,332.08 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 3,500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 12.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 2,500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 90% 1,011 shares