dumber

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $376.38
Potential payout: $39.62K
Potential profit: $39.24K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$301.3

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $201
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $673.96
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $122.65

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $682
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $326

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $495.73
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$57.32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $642.7

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$96.53

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $270.08
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $75.63

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.45

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45.5

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $112.9
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$46.6

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $485.58
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $475.96
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$14.42

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.89
Potential profit: $711.89
User PnL: -$263.93

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.33
Potential profit: $711.33
User PnL: -$35.57

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.07
Potential profit: $623.07
User PnL: -$181.71

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $575.44
Potential profit: $575.44
User PnL: -$28.77

Uruguay position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.85
Potential profit: $518.85
User PnL: -$207.54

Under position

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.8
Potential profit: $487.8
User PnL: -$20

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $128.57
Potential payout: $485.19
Potential profit: $356.61
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.43

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.19
Potential profit: $485.19
User PnL: -$137

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $125.43
Potential payout: $473.33
Potential profit: $347.9
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $972.64

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $797.55

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.26

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.03

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.23

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.08

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.74

Yes position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.22

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $501.72

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $471.86

No position

Will Australia win the 3rd most gold medals?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $455.21

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.87

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.18

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?