No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $31.88
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Polymarket Trader
0x3e82...c878
0x3e827302557b129bab504c178257707b3056c878
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.13
- Realized PnL
- $3.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $21.28
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $19.84
- Potential profit
- $16.87
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.48
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.06
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.51
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.62
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.24
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.73
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.21
No position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
India position
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes 8.1% 151.52 shares
- Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes 25.2% 19.84 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No 80% 37.5 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?No 49% 20.41 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 67.2% 2.75 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 18.8% 25.39 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 71.2% 2.75 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 4.3% 12.98 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 71% 6.57 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 86% 5.81 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11% 47.58 shares