Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.29K
- Potential profit
- $43.29K
- User PnL
- -$11.81K
Polymarket Trader
BT-polymarket
0x3e8f9b935db8aa660853ce8cf340482ccc26e1eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.44K
- Realized PnL
- $104.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.44K
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $656.49
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.18K
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Trump wins a solid blue state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.74
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.97
Yes position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $685.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?No 1.1% 100 shares
- Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No 1.4% 60 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 34% 64.49 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes 0.6% 36.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 88% 113.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No 85.3% 229.95 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 0.3% 13,350.41 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 30.9% 306 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 31.7% 5 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 31.3% 968.97 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No 70% 72.77 shares