Polymarket Trader

AZ-safe

0x3e9cb09c257f2f81962164717567f2bd091ab879

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $686.38
Realized PnL: $2.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $4.52K
User PnL: -$201.99

Yes position

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.17
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $188.89
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $88.89
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $88.89

No position

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $181.96
Potential payout: $269.58
Potential profit: $87.61
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$5.02

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $191.11
Potential payout: $243.45
Potential profit: $52.34
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $62.77
Potential payout: $176.83
Potential profit: $114.05
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.21

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.46
Potential profit: $138.46
User PnL: -$113.54

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $78.23
Potential profit: $38.33
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $4.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $52.64
Potential profit: $51.51
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.6
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $6.96
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.72

Belgium position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.03

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $205.85

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.29

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.94

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.87

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $47.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.01

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.06

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 60% 5 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 84% 3.57 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 78% 38.46 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 95% 15.97 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 62.6% 15.97 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

No 68% 63.14 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 77% 20.83 shares
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

No 36% 5.56 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 3.17 shares