Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $188.87
- Potential payout
- $13.99K
- Potential profit
- $13.8K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$411.12
Polymarket Trader
DiamondDog
0x3ea06f911bd2dacfb42ddd761e423f748cf7313b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $215.04
- Realized PnL
- -$810.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.35K
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $26.17
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$73.83
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.11
- Potential profit
- $125.11
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$810.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?No 40% 125.11 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?No 1.4% 7,361.82 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No 19% 526.32 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No 3.2% 3,104.35 shares
- Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?No 5% 2,000 shares
- Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?No 9.5% 2,107 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 48% 17,708.33 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes 48% 17,708.33 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 16,326.59 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 57% 15,790.88 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 56% 535.71 shares