Polymarket Trader

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0x3ea0cd906b9ecc0dca155a55ec46637d81e6eb13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $43.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting?

Ends Jun 13, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump lose the New Hampshire Primary?

Ends Jan 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $651.39
Potential profit: $651.39
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.87
Potential profit: $582.87
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20?

Ends May 20, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $545.12
Potential profit: $545.12
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.67
Potential profit: $501.67
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?

Ends Oct 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 38.0% or higher on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.74
Potential profit: $469.74
User PnL: -$263.97

$3,000 position

Will $ETH hit $3,000 or $2,000 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.08
Potential profit: $454.08
User PnL: -$184.74

Yes position

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA?

Ends May 9, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.02
Potential profit: $387.02
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?

Ends Jul 27, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.58
Potential profit: $360.58
User PnL: -$43

Polygon position

Will Polygon or Cardano close at a higher price on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.68
Potential profit: $350.68
User PnL: -$130

Cowboys position

NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles

Ends Oct 16, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.82
Potential profit: $339.82
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.06
Potential profit: $336.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.49
Potential profit: $327.49
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Trump heavier than 260 lbs?

Ends Sep 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.18
Potential profit: $306.18
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will JUP be above $1.00 one day after airdrop?

Ends Jan 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will DeSantis say "Florida" 5 or more times during his Twitter Space?

Ends May 21, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will the floor price of Goblintowns be above 1 ETH on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.71
Potential profit: $299.71
User PnL: -$43.08

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?

Ends Feb 24, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $288.46
User PnL: -$30

Warriors (Yes) position

NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Celtics by more than 3.5 points in their March 16 (10 PM ET) matchup?

Ends Mar 16, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.9
Potential profit: $285.9
User PnL: -$100

Zverev position

2022 French Open: Who will win Nadal vs. Zverev?

Ends Jun 3, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.51
Potential profit: $271.51
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022?

Ends May 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.25
Potential profit: $261.25
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 865788.24x
User PnL: $4.53K

No position

Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022?

Ends Mar 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2886325.76x
User PnL: $3.38K

Phillies position

MLB: Who will win Mets vs. Phillies game on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25K

Yes position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.23K

Kansas position

NCAA Finals: Who will win UNC vs. Kansas, scheduled for Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

NBA: Will the Nets beat the Pacers by more than 12.5 points in their April 10 (3:30PM ET) matchup?

Ends Apr 10, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Democratic position

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

NCAA Finals: Will Kansas beat UNC by more than 4.5 points in their Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET) matchup?

Ends Apr 4, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th?

Ends Feb 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?

Ends Apr 22, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4053.16x
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 10, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2166993.24x
User PnL: $1.54K

Turman position

UFC Fight Night - Feb 26: Misha Cirkunov vs Wellington Turman

Ends Feb 26, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26?

Ends Aug 26, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26?

Ends Aug 26, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2011895.36x
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 888834.34x
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 807289.03x
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022?

Ends Mar 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.06

Yes position

NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves by more than 3.5 points in their March 21, 8:40 PM ET matchup?

Ends Mar 21, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1200305.37x
User PnL: $906.72

Yes position

Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022?

Ends Mar 9, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6543394.05x
User PnL: $781.4

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022?

Ends Mar 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2596018.77x
User PnL: $764.96

Democrat position

Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?

Ends Nov 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?

Yes 10.4% 288.46 shares
Will JUP be above $1.00 one day after airdrop?

Yes 10% 300 shares
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Trump lose the New Hampshire Primary?

Yes 3.1% 651.39 shares
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

No 58.8% 85.03 shares
OpenAI board out by end of week?

Yes 33.6% 148.69 shares
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

Yes 15% 200 shares
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

Yes 15% 200 shares
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

No 9% 1,111.11 shares
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?

Yes 15% 500 shares
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

No 23% 2,825 shares
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween?

Yes 16% 500 shares