Polymarket Trader

mariaallen

0x3ea63d0d6597562345908badef8ba64280d520dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.33
Realized PnL: $314.23
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $4.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.01

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $90 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

No 61% 2 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 57% 4.33 shares
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

No 70% 2.76 shares
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

Yes 47% 2.74 shares
Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

No 54% 4.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 19?

Yes 99.8% 19.75 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122,000 on October 6?

No 35.1% 4.1 shares
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Yes 75% 3.93 shares
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

No 0.1% 1,390 shares
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

No 0.8% 173.75 shares
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

No 0.8% 155 shares
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

No 0.6% 216.67 shares