Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$494.34
Polymarket Trader
neoarbDa2
@NyuArbitrage
0x3ea720e5fa3bef43fb4717f0beb5d60afd927fc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.98K
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $441
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $159
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $396.39
- Potential payout
- $578.67
- Potential profit
- $182.28
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$83.91
No position
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$105
Team Nemesis position
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $361.4
- Potential payout
- $478.68
- Potential profit
- $117.28
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$26.33
N
No position
Haiti vs. Scotland: Second half draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.13
- Potential profit
- $475.13
- User PnL
- -$304.08
Yes position
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $47.34
- Potential payout
- $438.37
- Potential profit
- $391.03
- Multiplier
- 9.26x
- User PnL
- -$9.64
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $24.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $375.8
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $344
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14.16
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $385.84
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$12.24
No position
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$28.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $374
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $370
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $26.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $373.8
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $376.6
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $392.2
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Yes position
Will G2 Make Finals at MSI 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $29.63
- Potential payout
- $395
- Potential profit
- $365.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$29.63
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $228
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $288
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Mentality Monster position
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.09
- Potential profit
- $193.09
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Current value
- $162.28
- Potential payout
- $187.49
- Potential profit
- $25.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$11.16
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $22.6
- Potential payout
- $173.81
- Potential profit
- $151.21
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
N
No position
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $115.09
- Potential payout
- $151.44
- Potential profit
- $36.35
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$21.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Karolina Pliskova position
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskova
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.96
Grind Back position
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.42
Under position
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318
Pat Sabatini position
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.07
Grind Back position
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.97
PlayTime position
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.69
Under position
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.25
InterActive Philippines position
Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs InterActive Philippines (+1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.61
N
No position
Canada vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.6
RED Canids position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.61
Top Esports Challenger position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Under position
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.49
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.49
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Corners
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
N
No position
Cabo Verde to win the second half?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Alliance Guardians position
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Under position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
N
No position
France leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Under position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Under position
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
FUT Esports position
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?No 93% 6.92 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?Yes 93.6% 80 shares
- Will 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.9% 80 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?No 92.4% 80 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?No 88% 80 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 87% 80 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?Yes 93.3% 73.99 shares
- Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 92.2% 99.85 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by July 31?No 97.8% 28.01 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No 88.2% 1 shares
- Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 3.2% 129 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 1.8% 41.1 shares