Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.5
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- User PnL
- -$61.89
Polymarket Trader
0x3ea721fF50AaD546723a275D4B4A4617c9f0cBee-1720512441996
0x3ea721ff50aad546723a275d4b4a4617c9f0cbee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $111.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.35
- Potential profit
- $32.35
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.84
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.57
- Potential profit
- $4.57
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 3rd most gold medals?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Up position
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Fartcoin Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will Auburn win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
No position
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown 73.2% 84.5 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 92.9% 13.51 shares
- Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 56% 3.57 shares
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 52.9% 3.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ETUp 51% 3.92 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6?Yes 43.8% 4.57 shares
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics 56% 3.57 shares
- Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes 52% 3.85 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 56% 5.36 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 47% 4.26 shares