Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $111.26
- Potential payout
- $74.17K
- Potential profit
- $74.06K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$115.19
Polymarket Trader
JohnJameson
0x3eb64a674bce407795b4c5417aed4140a4124f09
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.04
- Realized PnL
- $4.22
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.53
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.42
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 54,330 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 94% 1.2 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 18.51 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 45% 2.22 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 40% 4.16 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 786 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.6% 27.02 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5.1% 21.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 43% 3.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 42% 3.12 shares