Yes position
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $73.32
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $2.93
Polymarket Trader
frame135
0x3edc7cc8761e05d1de35686043ab3be1546c42de
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $266.11
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $240.87
- Potential profit
- $234.97
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$20.87
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $174.87
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $51.94
- Potential profit
- $51.6
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $39.61
- Potential profit
- $27.93
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes 3% 204.97 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No 20% 89.99 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes 64% 32.81 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes 5% 44.95 shares
- Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?Yes 84.6% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes 45% 64 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No 80% 20 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 93.7% 50 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No 99.3% 45 shares
- Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?Yes 84.8% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?No 79% 20 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes 0.1% 80.14 shares