Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $538.46
- Potential profit
- $538.46
- User PnL
- -$350
Polymarket Trader
0x3Ee4bf420046D18CD94bC58a1A3CafbFC2624cCa-1741428450198
0x3ee4bf420046d18cd94bc58a1a3cafbfc2624cca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.71
- Realized PnL
- $315.49
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $134.71
- Potential payout
- $180.82
- Potential profit
- $46.11
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $108.11
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.34
- Potential profit
- $49.34
- User PnL
- -$31.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Lower position
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.88
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.97
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.86
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.91
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Yes position
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.38
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 66.3% 180.82 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No 91% 5.44 shares
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes 83% 5.44 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 37% 108.11 shares
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes 44% 527 shares
- Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?Yes 86.9% 647.63 shares
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes 42.6% 234.88 shares
- Will India invade Pakistan before July?No 95.9% 54.94 shares
- Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes 99.3% 102.98 shares
- Will India invade Pakistan before July?No 91% 54.95 shares
- Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes 97.1% 102.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10?No 96.3% 103.79 shares