Australia position
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.69
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
205265
0x3efbf59cfbf97068d4d3fe365261f8d6e3733c0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.66
- Realized PnL
- $15.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $11.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Stefano Napolitano position
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
JD Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- -$1
Harry Wendelken position
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuel
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- User PnL
- -$1
B8 position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
paiN position
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FK Orenburg win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Long Beach State Beach position
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.8% 11.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 99.8% 14.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 13.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.4% 12.07 shares
- Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No 99.8% 18.63 shares