Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $907.49
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $592.5
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$82.5
Polymarket Trader
NotAnInsider69420
0x3f0b3e78eddbd239539c28a96a30ef8c7d28a0d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $8.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $854.84
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $645.14
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$120.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.74
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.36
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.49
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.44
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.85
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.88
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.37
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 14.7% 479.86 shares
- Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?Yes 0.3% 250 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 192.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 150 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 91.2% 250.01 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 91.1% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown 51% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No 63% 135.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No 94% 220 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown 83% 27.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown 98% 212.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown 94% 212.77 shares