Polymarket Trader

0x3f16dF2fBa8fE0DFe8D6773C45E6D51918eFB3C8-1751274365652

0x3f16df2fba8fe0dfe8d6773c45e6d51918efb3c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $634.46
Realized PnL: -$6.89
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $358.42
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $3.86K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $105.42

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $276.04
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $765.63
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $26.04

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $10.26
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.14

Yes position

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

French election called by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 66% 75.76 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?

3.4% 59.35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 143.9 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 95.12 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 87% 45.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Up 17% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Up 39% 10.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Up 33% 6.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Down 44% 2.27 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 121.95 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 90% 45.56 shares