Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $649.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Polymarket Trader
Usamahaider
0x3f1bac1329846fab8e8290d86901f99675344cc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.2
- Realized PnL
- $93.06
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $417
- Potential profit
- $413.87
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.97
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.7% 100 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.5% 212.66 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 76% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 76% 50 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 35% 100 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 2.4% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 69% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes 6.8% 24.92 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.2% 130.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 3.1% 161.4 shares