Polymarket Trader

4ever4

0x3f2c3861c70b0d505598409a65af23a943c06da7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.76
Realized PnL: $2.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $26.2
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $22.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.95
Potential profit: $17.95
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.95
Potential profit: $13.95
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$4.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $8.1
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.86
Potential profit: $7.86
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.81
Potential profit: $4.81
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $4.56
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 48% 9.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 55% 14.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 6.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 81.9% 14.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 37% 9.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 6.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 5% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 91.3% 7.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 26.5% 6.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 24.9% 6.02 shares