No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $151.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $21.89
Polymarket Trader
50degreespowder
0x3f4493ee9b52d229cec8cba2a9fb6a6c2b78fa88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.68K
- Realized PnL
- $812.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $948.5
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$44.5
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $528.24
- Potential payout
- $969.24
- Potential profit
- $441.01
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$121.55
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $38.31
- Potential payout
- $823.95
- Potential profit
- $785.64
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$77.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $755.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $57.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 1,959.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.6% 766.78 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 62% 130 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 59.99 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 70% 76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.1% 300 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 72% 155 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 70% 120.06 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 67% 152 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 64% 70.5 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 64.7% 74.24 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 64% 97 shares