Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $74.04
- Potential payout
- $49.36K
- Potential profit
- $49.29K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Polymarket Trader
0x3F63C64A55C1409f1489ED0D8c1d9824AdCC42f2-1776180753923
0x3f63c64a55c1409f1489ed0d8c1d9824adcc42f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.04
- Realized PnL
- $306.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.8
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- User PnL
- -$13.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.14
- Potential profit
- $18.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.61
- Potential profit
- $17.61
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $5.35
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 49,360 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?Yes 52% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?No 36% 1.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?No 41% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?Yes 61% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?No 77% 6.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?Yes 90% 12.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?No 19% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?Yes 80% 9.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?No 52% 7 shares