No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $366.76
- Potential payout
- $978.02
- Potential profit
- $611.26
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$63.24
Polymarket Trader
Aventadooor
0x3f7df404223a2db1e6d69f2c553a3c1ab9f82e31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $844.6
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $596.4
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$43.4
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $432.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $392.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $389.59
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$75.6
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.13
- Potential profit
- $103.13
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.23
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.52
Yes position
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.27
Yes position
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.6
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.05
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.97
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.98
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.42
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 68% 14.71 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 285.71 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 52% 192.31 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 73% 13.7 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 14.93 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 28% 35.71 shares