Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$400
Polymarket Trader
0x3f8A6050793c1282F8c2fe3538a35d6910A91e62-1780039203848
0x3f8a6050793c1282f8c2fe3538a35d6910a91e62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $132.21
- Realized PnL
- $117.91
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.91
- Potential profit
- $577.91
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $44.64
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.36
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.41
- Potential profit
- $340.41
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $47.72
- Potential payout
- $203.06
- Potential profit
- $155.34
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $17.72
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $93.88
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.42
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $63.41
- Potential profit
- $54.85
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $50.79
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $28.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $19.35
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $9.14
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.51
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 14.8% 203.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 71.43 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 25.8% 19.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 285.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 13.7% 45.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 7.7% 95.54 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 16% 136.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 101.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 40.6% 24.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15.7% 95.54 shares