Polymarket Trader

Elvill

0x3fb62b02b242f8a8bb46e1c7b71b781d2916ad9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.6
Realized PnL: $3.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $30.61
Potential payout: $31.19
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Blast airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Cardinals position

Patriots vs. Cardinals

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross more than $70m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Suns position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Elon Musk arrested in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Giants

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Mystery drones shot down by Sunday?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 99% 20.2 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 97% 5.15 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 94.6% 3.17 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 73% 2.74 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 31.19 shares
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.3% 1,241.83 shares
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.4% 1,845 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?

No 99.5% 105.53 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

No 55% 9.09 shares
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 98.4% 25.41 shares
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 99.7% 25.08 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares