N
No position
Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
swmednjpA9024
0x3fbdf342250edf6246391774b1a9a943f0b41760
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.58
- Realized PnL
- -$78.22
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Y
Yes position
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Y
Yes position
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.43x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will LaTrice Verrett come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Y
Yes position
Will Hindustan Unilever Ltd be the largest Indian company?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will G2 Esports Win LEC Summer Split 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
N
No position
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
N
No position
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Y
Yes position
Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Y
Yes position
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?
Ends Jul 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
N
No position
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Y
Yes position
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- -$9
N
No position
Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 13?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.66
N
No position
Will Rho Labs launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$11.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No 1.8% 30 shares
- Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call?Yes 34.6% 21.04 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 1% 9.7 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?No 8% 64 shares
- Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 13?No 1.2% 38.4 shares
- Will anyone say "Wife" during Love Island E35?Yes 1.5% 8.49 shares
- Will "House" be in the headlines this week?Yes 1% 36.4 shares
- Will "House" be in the headlines this week?Yes 4% 12 shares
- Will anyone say "Wife" during Love Island E35?Yes 1% 35 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes 35.5% 37.62 shares
- Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?Yes 38% 8.8 shares