No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $12.55K
- Potential payout
- $12.65K
- Potential profit
- $107.55
- User PnL
- $31.65
Polymarket Trader
0x3fd0...0022
0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $20.88K
- Realized PnL
- $20.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.09K
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $849.16
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $44.69
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $108.7
- Potential payout
- $531.79
- Potential profit
- $423.09
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$33.29
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $138.79
- Potential payout
- $365.24
- Potential profit
- $226.45
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
Rafael Jodar position
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machac
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Detroit Tigers position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Andrey Rublev position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.39
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $838.99
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.84
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.96
No position
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.37
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.58
Yes position
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.77
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.44
Jiri Lehecka position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Nava
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.5
Alexandre Muller position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Alexandre Muller
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.32
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.15
Yes position
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 90% 8,938.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 99% 6,323.31 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 62.3% 18.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 91.8% 18.64 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 94% 23.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98.8% 14.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 89.9% 32.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 25% 176.84 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 69.8% 60.42 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 66.6% 140.91 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Yes 93.2% 52.18 shares