Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.81
- Potential profit
- $49.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
cd46A
0x3fd5d6534b2b15fcd46a415293f415d27e1e887a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.25
- Realized PnL
- -$0.57
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $20.88
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 61% 4.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp 16% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 84% 6.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 69% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 70% 1.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 64% 1.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 13% 15.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown 25% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown 16.8% 29.81 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?No 95.8% 20.88 shares