Polymarket Trader

SmirksenSOB

0x3fe258f91e35960bfb9a741d0f0a7451ea8abb3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $780.85
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $673.46
Potential payout: $46.45K
Potential profit: $45.77K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $62.65

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $658.05
Potential profit: $640.62
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $7.44

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.67
Potential profit: $566.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.42
Potential profit: $502.42
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $424.93
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.82
Potential profit: $417.82
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.19
Potential profit: $374.19
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $353.75
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $161.9
Potential profit: $152.11
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $3.8

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.82
Potential profit: $145.82
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.41
Potential profit: $126.41
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.26
Potential profit: $110.26
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.06
Potential profit: $108.06
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.49
Potential profit: $104.49
User PnL: -$9

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.4
Potential profit: $101.4
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 99.9% 20.64 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 5% 60 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 25% 20.64 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 18% 51.72 shares
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 574.75 shares
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Yes 87% 574.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.6% 20.71 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.3% 23.03 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 87.8% 7.69 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 49.5% 32.21 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 48.4% 96.65 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

No 97.6% 22.03 shares