Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $157.49
- Potential payout
- $346.14
- Potential profit
- $188.65
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Polymarket Trader
Conrad691
0x3fe4fd47643a6dea5784b81fdb6a5f0ebd4d0c3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $157.49
- Realized PnL
- $52.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $16.51
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Gujarat Titans win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 346 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 320 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 283 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 283 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 106 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 206 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 206 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 132 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 6.3% 1 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5.8% 208 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 80 shares