Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $44.87
- Potential profit
- $39.26
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Polymarket Trader
lidersmart
0x3ff96df496103bbb9c5cd1955c77b98609b04b7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.54
- Realized PnL
- $22.85
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $44.67
- Potential profit
- $36.95
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $6.94
- Potential payout
- $30.62
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $28.47
- Potential profit
- $24.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $17.71
- Potential profit
- $15.85
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $17.3
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $11.56
- Potential payout
- $14.17
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $10.95
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.37
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 20% 29.3 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 29% 29.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 16.7% 44.67 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.5% 30.62 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 10% 36.75 shares
- Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 34% 23 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 19% 36.75 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 44.87 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 54% 10.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 12% 17.71 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 18% 28.47 shares