No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.01K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- User PnL
- $224.4
Polymarket Trader
cumprod
0x3ffe1712d9b5e0d8c176f1ede6b49b9b177ae125
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.67K
- Realized PnL
- $21.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $833.65
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$185.43
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $441.09
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $196.87
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $382.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $346.74
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $218.36
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.1
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $174
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $226
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $299.86
- Potential payout
- $301.52
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- User PnL
- $40.1
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $100.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$92.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $214.49
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $85.49
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $97
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $103
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $68.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.49
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $60.75
- Potential payout
- $89.99
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $12.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.67
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.78
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.99
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.3
No position
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736.12
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715.64
No position
Yoon released from custody before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.32
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.31
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.02
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.56
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.38
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.88
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 278.72 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 26.6% 489.2 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 300 shares
- Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?No 96% 312.5 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?No 83% 361.45 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 45% 9.4 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 61% 200 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 9% 131.57 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 19% 131.58 shares