Polymarket Trader

0xrc

0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $381.49K
Realized PnL: $12.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $108.58K
Potential payout: $115.94K
Potential profit: $7.36K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.63K

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $83.22K
Potential payout: $91.45K
Potential profit: $8.23K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.37K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $55.83K
Potential payout: $59.87K
Potential profit: $4.04K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $667.72

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $48.58K
Potential payout: $53.38K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $25.22K
Potential payout: $29.5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $19.61K
Potential payout: $20.1K
Potential profit: $492.45
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $915.55

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.96K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: $125

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $6.55K
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $209.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $28.6

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $425
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $312.08

No position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $19.35
User PnL: $662.74

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: $22.34

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $141.3
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.89

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: $27.54

No position

Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $42.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$10.64

No position

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $18.61
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.14

No position

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $953.66
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $195.33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $82.08

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $36.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $79.62

No position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $963.05
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $66.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $35.15

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $959.24
Potential payout: $962.61
Potential profit: $3.37
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $621.16
Potential payout: $833.77
Potential profit: $212.61
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $99.58

No position

Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $607.93
Potential payout: $732.44
Potential profit: $124.51
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $30.24

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $477.25
Potential payout: $658.27
Potential profit: $181.02
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $95.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Thunder position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.78

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.06

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.95

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.11

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.32

Yes position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.55

No position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.34

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.52

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.34

No position

Will China join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.43

No position

Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $171.78

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.94

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.86

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.8% 25 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 2 - 3 Colombia?

No 98.9% 38.74 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 3 - 3 Colombia?

No 99.9% 233.82 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.6% 650.96 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.4% 1,006.04 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.3% 3.99 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.4% 100.6 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.5% 100.53 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.3% 3.46 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.2% 100.78 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.3% 1,007.05 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.5% 100.54 shares