Polymarket Trader

Alejandro98.

0x4014871eb7d243450d9b0a6b6591ab500f6bb8ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.01
Realized PnL: $395.72
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.81
Potential profit: $301.81
User PnL: -$25.4

Yes position

Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.08
Potential profit: $117.08
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.06
Potential profit: $117.06
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $31.01
Potential payout: $117.02
Potential profit: $86.01
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$23.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.27
Potential profit: $86.27
User PnL: -$19.84

Yes position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.44
Potential profit: $44.44
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.24

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.24

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Up 23% 86.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Up 42% 93.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Down 1% 1,999.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Up 26% 76.21 shares
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?

Yes 37% 40.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 17% 117.06 shares
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Up 3% 666.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Up 54.4% 54.3 shares
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?

Yes 25.6% 117.08 shares