cryptohaveninc

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $24.26
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $806.26
Potential profit: $804.24
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.98

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $758.85
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $13.82
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $574.41
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $352.68
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $330.83
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$17.5

Washington Mystics position

Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $307.97
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.5
Potential profit: $255.5
User PnL: -$9.67

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $182.02
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $180.49
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $171.2
Potential profit: $169.06
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$17.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.78
Potential profit: $152.78
User PnL: -$3

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.95
Potential profit: $147.95
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $142.57
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $113.24
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $33.82
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $13.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $96.25

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

9z position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.61

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

B8 position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET