Polymarket Trader

HagiwaraSr.

0x402a17926f7304493322b3f35fdbd642c631a7e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $323.93
Realized PnL: $523.54
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$504

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $319.48
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.29
Potential profit: $502.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

France loses visa-free access to any African nation in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.92
Potential profit: $443.92
User PnL: -$262.59

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $150.9
Potential profit: $146.45
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$20.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Jordan Bardella next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.39

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Yes position

Will NFP win the most seats in the French election?

Ends Jul 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$397.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.6% 150.9 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 11% 272.73 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11% 338.07 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 10% 3,380.7 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 502.29 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?

No 91% 1,799.99 shares
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?

No 65% 126.18 shares
Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Yes 4.2% 11,276.93 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 33.7% 300 shares